Bank’s funding and revenue prospects in the low for long era
Virtual ConferenceThe COVID-19 crisis has extended the likely period of ultra-expansionary monetary policies, while at the same time keeping banks’ net interest margins narrow for an indefinite period of time. Credit default ratios will rise due to the COVID-19 crisis over the medium-term, thus lowering banks’ equity ratios. While dividend moratoriums prescribed by regulators in principle bolster banks’ capital, they make investment in bank equity less attractive and create a gap between the remuneration of bank equity and subordinated capital. The response to the COVID-19 crisis testifies that the post-GFC regulatory reforms were successful in bolstering banks’ capital and in reducing pro-cyclicality. At the same time, there remains room for improvement.